Tesis Singer–Prebisch: Perbedaan antara revisi

'''Tesis Singer–Prebisch''' (juga disebut '''Tesis Prebisch–Singer''', atau '''hipotesis Prebisch–Singer''') menyatakan bahwa [[nilai tukar dagang]] (''term of trade'') antara [[sektor primer industri|produk primer]] dan barang manufaktur akan merosot seiring berjalannya waktu. Pada tahun 1950, ekonom [[Raúl Prebisch]] dan [[Hans Singer]] secara independen mengembangkan tesis bahwa negara yang mengekspor komoditas primer (negara berkembang) akan mengimpor lebih sedikit barang manufaktur relatif kepada jumlah ekspor.

Namun, selama [[ledakan komoditas 2000an|ledakan komoditas tahun 2000an]], nilai tukar dagang negara-negara berkembang meningkat sementara nilai tukar [[Asia Timur]] (yanyang ekspornya banyak berupa barang manufaktur) merosot.<ref>United Nations (2008) [http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/tdr2008_en.pdf Trade and Development Report, 2008] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120131120344/http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/tdr2008_en.pdf |date=2012-01-31 }}.</ref>

* [[José Antonio Ocampo|Ocampo, José Antonio]], and Parra, María Angela. (2003) ''[http://econwpa.wustl.edu/eprints/it/papers/0402/0402006.abs The Terms of Trade for Commodities in the Twentieth Century] {{Webarchive|url=https://archive.today/20121226212803/http://econwpa.wustl.edu/eprints/it/papers/0402/0402006.abs |date=2012-12-26 }}''.

* [[United Nations Conference on Trade and Development]] (2005) ''[http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/tdr2005ch3_en.pdf Trade and Development Report Chapter 3: Evolution of the Terms of Trade and its Impact on Developing Countries] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060514010631/http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/tdr2005ch3_en.pdf |date=2006-05-14 }}''.

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