Pemilihan umum Indonesia 2019: Perbedaan antara revisi
Konten dihapus Konten ditambahkan
→Keuangan: Penambahan konten Tag: Suntingan perangkat seluler Suntingan peramban seluler |
→Polling: Penambahan konten Tag: Suntingan perangkat seluler Suntingan peramban seluler |
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Baris 1.079:
=== Polling ===
<small>'''CATATAN''': Keakuratan survei politik di Indonesia sangat bervariasi, dengan beberapa yang memiliki sedikit transparansi. Perlu juga dicatat bahwa beberapa lembaga juga bertindak sebagai konsultan politik dan survei sering kali dibayar oleh kandidat.<ref name="caution">{{cite news |last1=Hidayat |first1=Reja |title=Rawan Kepentingan: Campur Aduk Lembaga Survei & Jasa Konsultan |url=https://tirto.id/rawan-kepentingan-campur-aduk-lembaga-survei-amp-jasa-konsultan-cJkL |access-date=22 September 2018 |work=tirto.id |date=25 April 2018 |language=id |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181204154553/https://tirto.id/rawan-kepentingan-campur-aduk-lembaga-survei-amp-jasa-konsultan-cJkL |archive-date=4 December 2018 |url-status=live |df=dmy-all }}</ref> Oleh karena itu, kehati-hatian harus dilakukan dalam menggunakan data pemungutan suara di bawah ini.</small>
{{Hidden begin|titlestyle = background:lightgrey;|title=Polling untuk Pemilu Legislatif Indonesia 2019}}
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align: center;"
|-
!|Organisasi polling
!|Tanggal
!|Ukuran sampel
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Indonesian Democratic Party - Struggle|PDI-P]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Golkar]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Great Indonesia Movement Party|Gerindra]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Partai Demokrat (Indonesia)|Demokrat]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[National Awakening Party|PKB]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Prosperous Justice Party|PKS]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[National Mandate Party|PAN]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[United Development Party|PPP]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[People's Conscience Party|Hanura]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Nasdem Party|Nasdem]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Crescent Star Party (Indonesia)|PBB]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Perindo]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Indonesian Solidarity Party|PSI]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Berkarya Party|Berkarya]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Partai Garuda|Garuda]]
! style="width: 40px;"|[[Indonesian Justice and Unity Party|PKPI]]
|-
| align="left"|[http://www.tribunnews.com/nasional/2019/04/12/survei-cyrus-network-perjuangan-menang-pemilu-legislatif-2019 Cyrus]
||27 March-2 April 2019
||1,230
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|27.9
||11.4
||16.7
||5.5
||8.0
||5.1
||3.7
||3.2
||1.2
||3.7
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4498303/survei-lsi-pdip-potensi-juara-pemilu-gerindra-golkar-bersaing-di-posisi-2 LSI]
||18–26 March 2019
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|24.6
||11.8
||13.4
||5.9
||5.8
||3.9
||3.1
||2.9
||0.9
||2.5
||0.2
||3.9
||0.2
||0.7
||0.1
||0.1
|-
| align="left"|[https://nasional.kontan.co.id/news/survei-charta-politika-pdi-p-248-gerindra-157 Charta Politika]
||1–9 March 2019
||2,000
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|24.8
||9.8
||15.7
||5.1
||7.2
||4.1
||3.2
||3.6
||0.8
||4.9
||0.4
||1.3
||1.4
||0.4
||0.2
||0.3
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4477069/survei-litbang-kompas-pdip-gerindra-teratas-7-parpol-terancam-tak-ke-dpr Kompas]
||22 February-5 March 2019
||2,000
| bgcolor="#90EE90|26.9
||9.4
||17
||4.6
||6.8
||4.5
||2.9
||2.7
||0.9
||2.6
||0.4
||1.5
||0.9
||0.5
||0.2
||0.2
|-
| align="left"|[http://tribunnews.com/nasional/2019/02/20/hasil-survei-lsi-terbaru-daftar-elektabilitas-partai-di-pileg-2019-pdi-p-gerindra-golkar LSI]
||18–25 January 2019
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90|23.7
||11.3
||14.6
||5.4
||8.2
||4
||1.5
||3.5
||0.5
||4.5
||-
||3.6
||0.4
||0.1
||0.3
||-
|-
| align="left"|[https://www.beritasatu.com/politik/532928-survei-charta-politika-nasdem-geser-demokrat-di-lima-besar-pileg-2019.html Charta Politika]
||22 December 2018 – 2 January 2019
||2,000
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|25.2
||9.0
||15.2
||4.5
||8.1
||4.2
||2.6
||4.3
||0.6
||5.3
||0.4
||2.7
||-
||-
||-
||0.1
|-
| align="left"|[https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2018/10/23/11241421/survei-kompas-pdi-p-gerindra-pkb-golkar-di-urutan-4-besar Kompas]
||24 September-5 October 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|29.90
||6.20
||16.00
||4.80
||6.30
||3.30
||2.30
||3.20
||1.00
||3.60
||0.40
||1.50
||0.40
||0.40
||0.30
||0.10
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4128506/survei-median-pdip-26-10-parpol-tak-bisa-masuk-senayan Median]
||19 April–5 May 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|26.00
||8.80
||16.50
||8.60
||8.70
||3.00
||3.40
||2.80
||0.70
||2.70
||0.20
||3.50
||0.30
||0.20
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
||0.20
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.okezone.com/read/2018/05/13/337/1897762/survei-polcomm-institute-pdip-raih-elektabilitas-tertinggi-di-mata-generasi-milenial Polcomm]
||3–6 May 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|22.92
||7.92
||17.5
||6.17
||3.42
||2.83
||3.25
||1.17
||0.58
||1.75
||0.42
||1.75
||0.33
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4010823/lsi-denny-ja-pdip-2170-golkar-1530-gerindra-1470 LSI]
||28 Apr–5 May 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|21.7
||15.3
||14.7
||5.8
||6.2
||2.2
||2.5
||1.8
||0.7
||2.3
||0.4
||2.3
||0.1
||0.1
||0.3
||0.1
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.okezone.com/read/2018/05/21/337/1900925/survei-charta-politika-perindo-langkahi-6-partai-lawas Charta Politika]
||13–19 Apr 2018
||2,000
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|24.9
||11
||12.3
||5
||7
||3.5
||2.8
||3.8
||0.6
||3.6
||0.7
||4.0
||0.2
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
||0.2
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/3980591/pdip-golkar-dan-gerindra-diprediksi-menangi-pileg-2019 Cyrus]
||27 Mar–3 Apr 2018
||1,239
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|26.9
||11.5
||11.5
||5.0
||7.3
||3.5
||1.5
||4.3
||1.0
||3.3
||0.2
||4.3
||0.3
||0.8
||0.3
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.okezone.com/read/2018/05/03/337/1894104/elektabilitas-15-parpol-dari-tertinggi-hingga-terendah-nomor-6-parpol-baru Indikator]
||25–31 Mar 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|27.7
||8.0
||11.4
||6.6
||5.8
||4.0
||1.9
||3.5
||0.5
||2.7
||0.3
||4.6
||0.2
||0.3
||0.7
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2018/04/16/17510981/survei-median-cuma-pdi-p-dan-gerindra-yang-suaranya-naik Median]
||24 Mar–6 Apr 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|21.1
||9.3
||15
||8.1
||8.5
||2.9
||2
||3.6
||0.7
||2.4
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/3989672/survei-litbang-kompas-pdip-333-gerindra-109 Kompas]
||21 Mar–1 Apr 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|33.3
||7.2
||10.9
||2.8
||4.9
||2.4
||1.3
||2.2
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
||2.5
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
||1.5
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://detik.com/news/berita/d-3873336/poltracking-elektabilitas-pdip-tertinggi-diikuti-gerindra-golkar Poltracking]{{Dead link|date=March 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
||27 Jan–3 Feb 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|26.5
||11.3
||13.4
||6.6
||6
||4.6
||3.6
||2.7
||2.3
||3.3
||0.5
||2.1
||2.1
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/3831150/survei-lsi-denny-ja-pdip-222--golkar-155--gerindra-114- LSI]
||7–14 Jan 2018
||1,200
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|22.2
||15.5
||11.4
||6.2
||6
||3.8
||2
||3.5
||0.7
||4.2
||0.3
||3
||0.3
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/d-3680059/survei-indikator-elektabilitas-perindo-di-atas-nasdem-pan-hanura Indikator]
||{{nowrap|17–24 Sep 2017}}
||1,220
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|23.6
||12
||10.3
||8
||5.5
||3.3
||1.9
||4.6
||0.9
||2
||0.5
||2.5
||0.4
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[http://www.tribunnews.com/nasional/2017/10/22/survei-polmark-ungkap-elektabilitas-parpol-jika-pemilu-digelar-hari-ini PolMark]
||9–20 Sep 2017
||2,250
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|25.1
||9.2
||7.1
||5.3
||6.3
||2.4
||3.6
||2.4
||0.3
||2.8
||0.2
||1.7
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|-
| align="left"|[https://news.detik.com/berita/3671978/smrc-elektabilitas-pdip-271-golkar-vs-gerindra-bersaing-ketat SMRC]
||3–10 Sep 2017
||1,220
| bgcolor="#90EE90"|27.1
||11.4
||10.2
||6.9
||5.5
||4.4
||3.6
||4.3
||1.3
||2.4
||0.1
||2
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
| bgcolor="#D3D3D3"|–
|}
<small>'''CATATAN''': Lihat peringatan di atas</small>
{{Hidden end}}
== Hasil ==
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